Coronavirus: How We Predict What Might Happen Next
On Tuesday, the White House coronavirus task force told reporters as many as 240,000 Americans are projected to die from COVID-19, and that’s only if the entire country maintains strict social distancing measures.
The figures come from a series of different models, including one from Imperial College London, which says up to 2.2 million Americans could die if nothing is done to mitigate the virus’ spread.
The task force also referenced a report from the University of Washington’s Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation, which says the number of U.S. deaths-per-day from coronavirus will peak over the next two to three weeks.
How are scientists making these models? And what do they mean for Americans still hoping to get outside before June?
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